Pilot 7.5 | Seasonal preparedness

Pilot 7.5 | Seasonal preparedness

Transportation and tourism sectors are dependent on inter-annual climate variability. In winter, driving safety is strongly weather dependent due to slippery road surface conditions. Timely installation of winter tires is essential when temperature falls to near 0°C and roads might be covered by ice and snow. However, the time of winter tire installation and thus their distribution to the customers varies from year to year depending on weather conditions. The tailored sub-seasonal and seasonal forecast products for winter tire season and safety driving conditions will allow tire companies to plan the distribution of right tire types and the seasonal management, to increase their economic benefit and improve transportation safety.

As climate is key resource also for tourism, climate change is slowly entering into decision-making in a range of tourism stakeholders. Climate change may create economic opportunities as well, for instance, in the Mediterranean region the touristic season is foreseen to lengthen, increasing the flows of the tourists. Tourism stakeholders need information on future seasonal climatic conditions during different seasons that make possible for them to adapt to the forthcoming changes in the length and quality of climate-dependent tourism seasons. The newly created seasonal and short-term forecast tourist indicators for the selected UNESCO World Heritage Sites in Greece foster the competitive relationships between destinations precisely determining the tourism demand and thus the profitability of tourism enterprises.

/ Objectives
  • Co-create a climate service providing tailored sub-seasonal and seasonal forecast products for winter tire season and driving conditions in Finland building on Copernicus services
  • Develop a climate service providing new high spatial resolution seasonal tourist indicators for tourism companies in Greece
  • To develop beneficial and user-friendly climate indicators for the tourism and transportation sector, i.e., tire enterprises
  • To assess the usability of sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts for the transportation and tourism sector
  • Raise awareness of the stakeholders interested in the touristic and transportation sector to adopt more sustainable ways and increase their climate resilience.
/ Partners

Finnish Meteorological Institute, Academy of Athens

/ Key Users

Vianor Oy, INSETE (Institute of the Greek Tourism Confederation)

/ Key Datasets

ECMWF extended range forecast data (ENS) from ECMWF dissemination, ECMWF SEAS5 data, NCEP CFSv2 data and ERA5 reanalysis from C3S Climate Data Store

/ ID Card
Expected outcome of the pilot

The two pilots aim to increase preparedness and resilience of transportation and tourism sectors to inter-annual climate variability through user-oriented climate services that provide tailored forecast products for various timescales (short-range, sub-seasonal and seasonal scale). The pilot will generate:

  • tailored sub-seasonal and seasonal climate outlooks for Finland focusing on winter weather conditions, including onset and offset of winter tire season, freezing temperature and snow conditions
  • sub-seasonal (3-month) climate outlooks and 4-days forecasts of climate-tourism indicators for 20 UNESCO World Heritage Sites in Greece

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