Pilot 7.2 | Urban resilience to extreme weather - climate service

Pilot 7.2 | Urban resilience to extreme weather - climate service

The three e-shape pilots provide sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts, as well as climate projections for European cities in Finland, Germany and Austria. The developed processing chains can be the starting point for further applications for smart cities. The e-shape pilots will increase the preparedness and response to hazardous weather conditions (e.g. snow accumulation, heavy precipitation, heat waves and dry spells) and climate hazards. They support the progress in achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 11 (sustainable cities and communities). Sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts for urban areas help the cities authorities preparing for hazardous summer and winter weather conditions (e.g. disaster risk reduction management against “urban” heat). The pilot on winter snow accumulation in Helsinki is a good example of how the sub-seasonal and seasonal forecast inclusion help city authorities planning their requirements of street network maintenance during winter. The urban climate projections provide the climatological scientific basis for mid-term and long-term human settlements planning and management especially against heat in disaster-prone areas.

/ Objectives
  • To develop beneficial and user-friendly sub-seasonal and seasonal climate forecasts, as well as climate projection products and indicators for city authorities
  • To increase the preparedness of city authorities and decrease the vulnerability of urban population to hazardous weather events and risks caused by climate variability and climate change
  • To raise awareness among stakeholders in European cities interested to adapt to the consequences of climate variability and climate change and include the services as part of their decision chains
  • Support of climate adaptation on the local scale; strengthening resilience and adaptive capacity
/ Partners


/ Key Users

Cities and municipalities in Finland, Germany, and Austria

/ Key Datasets

Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) of ECMWF, SEAS5 seasonal forecast system of ECMWF, ERA5 re-analysis data, German Climate Forecast System Version 2.1 (GCFS2.1) seasonal forecasts, hydrometeorological raster data for Germany (HYRAS), German Test Reference Year (TRY), CLMS High Resolution Layer, Corine Land Cover, Urban Atlas, Eu-DEM, Land Information System Austria (LISA), EURO-CORDEX CMIP5 climate projections

/ ID Card
Expected outcome of the pilot

The three pilots have the goal to strengthen urban resilience to extreme weather using various time-scales (sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts, as well as climate projections).  

The pilots provide:

  • sub-seasonal and seasonal forecast products for the city of Helsinki including e.g. snow accumulation, long freezing periods during winter, warm weather periods during winter, slippery conditions for pedestrians and conditions for spring street cleaning
  • seasonal forecasts products with a focus on summer heat and dry conditions for different German cities (e.g. Aschaffenburg) using a statistical down-scaling approach to reach a higher spatial resolution without losing forecast skill
  • climate projection products for various Austrian cities with a focus on summer heat load for urban planning, risk management and environmental protection

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